Blog

Read our latest thoughts on Estate Planning, Trust Services and Asset Management.

Macro 6/7/2024

Rising Number of FDIC Problem Banks Signals Serious Downside Risks Ahead

The US banking system is grappling with $517 billion in unrealized losses, credit card delinquencies, and commercial real estate defaults. With 63...

READ MORE

Macro 5/24/2024

A Looming Wall Of Corporate Debt: The Threat of 'Fallen Angels'

There is a large amount of corporate debt, especially from BBB-rated companies, that is maturing in the next three years, posing a risk if downgrad...

READ MORE

Macro 5/17/2024

The Dunham Deep Dive: Three Interesting Things I'm Looking At

The Kansas City Fed LMCI shows a weakening U.S. labor market, signaling potential further softening. China's credit contraction pressures the gover...

READ MORE

Macro 5/13/2024

Economic Crossroads: What Lies Ahead for Consumers as Excess Savings Evaporates?

As excess savings from COVID stimulus evaporate, US consumers face challenges. High credit card debt, BNPL schemes, and rising delinquencies paint ...

READ MORE

Macro 5/3/2024

The Dunham Deep Dive: Three Interesting Things I'm Looking At

The US job market showing signs of cooling all around. The Japanese yen hit a 34-year low against the dollar, seemingly triggering government inter...

READ MORE

Macro 4/26/2024

Trading Shots: Escalating Trade Wars and Echoes from the Great Depression

I've highlighted the looming specter of escalating trade tensions, particularly targeting China. This isn't just about economics; it's about the po...

READ MORE

Macro 4/15/2024

They Say Demographics Are Destiny: If So, Things May Look Pretty Bleak

The decline in birth rates poses challenges: an aging population, declining workforce, and strained social programs. Despite efforts, global ferti...

READ MORE

Macro 3/28/2024

My Top Q1-2024 'Morning Pours' With Must-See Updates

Concerns over auto market dynamics have persisted since January as subprime loan delinquencies surge. Banks also grapple with commercial real estat...

READ MORE

Macro 3/22/2024

Trade Wars Redux? China's Manufacturing Glut and Its Global Implications

Amid China's economic struggles, it's resorting to aggressive measures. Increasing manufacturing investment to offset property market woes may exac...

READ MORE

Macro 3/12/2024

Beyond The Politics: Presidential Elections and Economic Realities

Dive into 2024's economic terrain beyond Fed talks: the presidential election looms. As advisors, let's focus on facts, not politics, to guide clie...

READ MORE

Macro 3/8/2024

Banks on Shaky Ground as Liquidity Dries Up - Here's What I'm Looking At

Rising loan losses, dwindling liquidity, and the Fed's tightening plague banks. With the emergency lending program ending and Fed tightening suckin...

READ MORE