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Insights: Liquidity
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Recent posts
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Real Rates Bite, China’s $1T Surplus, & Short Term Debt Risks Rise
Real rates stay too tight, China’s $1T surplus is becoming a global market problem, and governments face rising rollover risks as short-term debt piles up.
ChinaDeep DiveDebt & CreditLiquidity
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Bank Reserves Are Shrinking — Is a Liquidity Crunch Next?
U.S. bank reserves are plunging to multi-year lows. Is a liquidity crunch next? See what’s draining reserves and why regional banks are at risk.
Morning PourLiquidityBanking
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Fed Liquidity Is Back, the Private Sector Is Deleveraging, & Wages Keep Lagging
Fed liquidity is expanding again via QE-Lite, private-sector debt is slowly unwinding relative to the economy, and U.S. wages continue falling behind
MacroDeep DiveDebt & Credit
All Posts
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Overnight Reverse Repo: What it is and Why Liquidity Is Drying Up
Learn how the overnight reverse repo works, why usage has collapsed, and what shrinking liquidity could mean for markets and financial stability.
LiquidityBankingMarkets
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
The Treasury’s Liquidity Flood, CEO Euphoria, and a $142T Inflation Surge
Treasury liquidity is set to surge as $950B flows back into markets, CEO confidence hits highs not seen since 2007, & $142T keeps inflation structurally high
MacroInflationDeep Dive
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Bank Stress Builds, Housing Locks Out a Generation, and Jobs Freeze Up
Fed repo injections hit $125B as bank liquidity tightens, housing affordability locks out first-time buyers, and layoffs accelerate across the U.S. economy
Deep DiveLiquidityLabor Market
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
The Natural Rate of Interest Explained: What It Is and Why It Matters
Learn what the natural rate of interest is, how it shapes monetary policy, and why falling natural rates make recessions and policy mistakes more likely.
MacroMorning PourLiquidity
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Unprofitable Stocks Surge, States Slip Into Recession, & Money Velocity Falls
Unprofitable stocks are surging on rate-cut bets, the U.S. economy splits as key states weaken, and money velocity slows for the first time in years
Deep DiveLiquidityMarkets
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Hold On: Is The U.S. Economy Actually At Risk of Overheating? Let’s Talk About It
This post was authored by Adem Tumerkan, Dunham's Content Editor. If you have questions concerning today's topic, please call us at (858) 964 - 0500. Hold
MacroMorning PourLiquidity
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Capital Spending Jumps, Meme Stocks Surge, & EU-China Trade Gap Widens
U.S. capital spending surges to 1997 levels, meme stock speculation returns as M2 rises, and Europe faces mounting trade pressure from China.
Deep DiveTrade WarLiquidity
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Liquidity Is Evaporating, AI’s Building Boom, & China’s Job Market Crumbles
Liquidity buffers are vanishing as reverse repo drains, AI data centers surge past offices in construction, and China’s youth unemployment soars
ChinaDeep DiveLiquidityAI
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Is China’s Stock Market Rally Forming a Bubble Amid Economic Weakness?
China’s stock rally is surging amid deflation, weak loan growth, & toxic debt. Is the market disconnecting from economic reality? Or are stocks front running?
MacroMorning PourChinaMarkets