Back to Insights
Insights: Deep Dive
Discover industry insights, macro trends, and valuable strategies designed to guide your financial journey. Subscribe to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox.
Recent posts
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
OPEC’s Oil Flood, BNPL’s Credit Hit, and Copper’s Global Squeeze
OPEC’s oil flood accelerates as Saudi Arabia pumps, BNPL debt enters FICO scores, and a historic copper squeeze rattles global supply chains.
MacroCommoditiesDeep DiveDebt & Credit
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Real Rates Bite, China’s $1T Surplus, & Short Term Debt Risks Rise
Real rates stay too tight, China’s $1T surplus is becoming a global market problem, and governments face rising rollover risks as short-term debt piles up.
ChinaDeep DiveDebt & Credit
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Fed Liquidity Is Back, the Private Sector Is Deleveraging, & Wages Keep Lagging
Fed liquidity is expanding again via QE-Lite, private-sector debt is slowly unwinding relative to the economy, and U.S. wages continue falling behind
MacroDeep DiveDebt & Credit
All Posts
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
AI’s Depreciation Trap, Extreme Fear on Wall Street, and the Housing Cool-Down
This post was authored The AI depreciation trap, extreme market fear as liquidity shifts, and a broad U.S. housing slowdown as prices and affordability fall.
Deep DiveAIMarketsHousing
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
The Treasury’s Liquidity Flood, CEO Euphoria, and a $142T Inflation Surge
Treasury liquidity is set to surge as $950B flows back into markets, CEO confidence hits highs not seen since 2007, & $142T keeps inflation structurally high
MacroInflationDeep Dive
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Bank Stress Builds, Housing Locks Out a Generation, and Jobs Freeze Up
Fed repo injections hit $125B as bank liquidity tightens, housing affordability locks out first-time buyers, and layoffs accelerate across the U.S. economy
Deep DiveLiquidityLabor Market
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Unprofitable Stocks Surge, States Slip Into Recession, & Money Velocity Falls
Unprofitable stocks are surging on rate-cut bets, the U.S. economy splits as key states weaken, and money velocity slows for the first time in years
Deep DiveLiquidityMarkets
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Capital Spending Jumps, Meme Stocks Surge, & EU-China Trade Gap Widens
U.S. capital spending surges to 1997 levels, meme stock speculation returns as M2 rises, and Europe faces mounting trade pressure from China.
Deep DiveTrade WarLiquidity
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Banks Are Lending Again, Canada’s Market Is Soaring, and Birth Rates Sink
Bank lending accelerates to highest since 2008, Canadian equities are surging on commodities, & falling birth rates are a problem for OECD future growth
Deep DiveBankingMarkets
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
Liquidity Is Evaporating, AI’s Building Boom, & China’s Job Market Crumbles
Liquidity buffers are vanishing as reverse repo drains, AI data centers surge past offices in construction, and China’s youth unemployment soars
ChinaDeep DiveLiquidityAI
Adem Tumerkan • Recent
U.S. Manufacturing Booms, China’s Debt Hits 300% of GDP, & Inflation Is Cooling
U.S. manufacturing shows signs of a rebound, China’s debt climbs past 300% of GDP, and real-time data suggest inflation may be cooling faster than headlines imply.
MacroChinaInflationDeep Dive